DFS NHL Strategy: Analyzing Line Matchups

I said in my”How to Win Playing DFS Hockey” post that Brett and I’m different than most DFS NHL analysts because we take the time to consider line matchups when doing our nightly DFS research.
There his so much more to DFS NHL than picking players from good teams who play bad teams. I mean, it’s absolutely possible for a random play to strike, and rather likely if that random drama comes with a fantastic player. Nonetheless, with pricing becoming tighter and tighter, along with a seemingly abundance of alternatives with these large 10+ game slates, it’d certain behoove you to narrow down things whenever you can.
Last season, war-on-ice. Com was the spot. This season, I’m putting in a great word for the guys at naturalstattrick.com. Through Natural Stat Trick, you are able to analyze each game by viewing a participant’s linemates, along with a participant’s opposition. Keep in mind, in the National Hockey League, the Road group is required to put five players on the ice prior to every puck drop. The Home team has the benefit since they get the capacity to matchup any of their five players with the Away team’s five gamers. This may induce potential mismatches, such as a Home team fitting the opposing group’s 4th line using their #1 line.
Generally, there are going to be three lines you want to consider for any team. Ordinarily, it’s going to be a #1 or #2 line, but sometimes, #3 traces will get good matchups also. Most of the time, it is possible to ignore #4 lines because #4 lines will nearly always matchup against #4 traces, and no matter, they do not get enough ice time or power-play time to warrant enjoying in DFS. More often than not, Home teams will fit the opposition’s #1 lineup with their own #1 lineup. Yes, coaches tend to lack a fantastic deal of imagination with line matchups, but there are definitely exceptions.
For example, Winnipeg Jets Head Coach Paul Maurice prefers to matchup the competition’s #1 lineup with his 3rd line featuring Brandon Tanev, Andrew Copp, and Adam Lowry. A perfect example of this scenario works from a DFS standpoint is by way of the Jets game against the Chicago Blackhawks this past Monday.
When it comes to the Blackhawks, it is apparent that their #1 line is that features Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane. On paper, a lineup with Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, and random left-winger Will be favored from the likes of Brandon Tanev, Andrew Copp, and Adam Lowry. Yes, the end result didn’t work out contemplating the Hawks got shutout, but Chicago’s top line had the edge from a puck possession perspective with a 60-40% edge in CF% (Note: CF stands for”Corsi For” while CA stands for”Corsi Against”. The term”Corsi” denotes any kind of shot effort , regardless if it is on net, or gets blocked).

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