2019 Belmont Stakes Betting: Pletcher Sends Out Duo of Live Long Shots

Trainer Todd Pletcher has won the Belmont Stakes (G3) three times in his career and will be sending out a pair of live long shots in Saturday’s race.
Spinoff was an outsider at the Kentucky Derby (G1) and ran like one. The colt wasn’t a threat in an 18th-place finish, defeated 18 spans for the best spot at chances of +5200.
Intrepid Heart won his first two starts and makes his Triple Crown debut after a third-place finish from the Peter Pan (G3) on the Belmont Park main track in his final outing.
Spinoff Fits Profile of Belmont Winners
Of the duo, Spinoff matches the Pletcher profile of Belmont Stakes winners.
Tapwrit won the 2017 Belmont Stakes for Pletcher after conducting sixth in the Kentucky Derby where he was defeated 10??1/4 lengths. He jumped the Preakness and returned to dent the mild mad, the colt paying 12.40.
In 2012, Palace Malice was 12th at the Derby (defeated 13??1/2 lengths), skipped the Preakness and came back to win the Belmont Stakes for Pletcher, returning $29.60.
His additional Belmont winner was Rags to Riches, who won the Kentucky Oaks (G1) in her previous outing, bypassing the Black Eyed Susan (G2) on Preakness Day.
Spinoff didn’t do much running at the Kentucky Derby. He came into the race off a six-week break, which is just a bit too much, running a solid second in the Louisiana Derby (G2) at Fair Grounds in his previous start.
He has a good pedigree to take care of the distance, by Hard Spun out of the multiple graded stakes winner Zaftig ($408,700), who won the 2008 Nassau County (G3) and Acorn (G1) within the primary track at Belmont Park, then ran third in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1).
His running style in his previous starts is about ideal for this particular race, he picks up Javier Castellano and will be a generous price. His current odds at Bovada are +1200.
Intrepid Heart most lightly raced contender
Intrepid Heart, who is +800, has only the three starts under his belt and is the most lightly raced contender in the race. The colt has a nice pedigree. He’s by the sire Tapit, who has accounted for three Belmont winners at the previous five years.
His regular rider is Hall of Famer John Velazquez, who has won the Belmont Stakes twice, most recently with Union Rags at 2012.
Preakness winner Battle of Will (+225) and Kentucky Derby third-place finisher Tacitus (+200) are garnering most of the attention in the betting, meaning both of Pletcher’s runners may be well worth a good look at generous odds.
Handicapper Michael Dempsey will soon be covering the Triple Crown for Odds Shark and his entire card reports with choices, analysis, fair odds line and wagering recommendations for important buys can be found every day at turfnsport.com.

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